Tag Archives: Investor

Prediction About Realty Trend

For now, the next few quarters could be the acid test for the sector. The stock prices of many real estate companies are under duress. DLF’s offer for a share buyback comes at a time when the stock price has been adversely hit. While one could argue that the overall sentiment is on a low, the fall in these stocks has hit the investor really hard.

At such high price levels for property, the buyer is taking his time which does not augur well for the developers. It is precisely for this reason that the uncertainty has stepped in.

HDFC’s Karnad admits that there are some pockets in India where prices need to correct further. “However, today, the real estate sector is going through a stage of over-pessimism,” she argues.

The story of the aspiring Indian middle class is hard to ignore and that could be urge to own a home could still make sure there is a healthy level of demand. Overall, the impact of a global slowdown on India is slowly being felt. It may affect Indian realty sector in coming time. However, NRIs affections towards Indian properties will not likely to be vanish in near future.

Slowdown Of Real Estate Affects Loan Industry

The slowdown in the real estate sector has started impacting the securitization of loans to the industry. The demand for such securities has dried up as debt mutual funds turn wary and cut exposure to these securities, considered the most illiquid of tradable papers.

The market for loan securitization was Rs 31,000 crore, of which real estate loan securitization accounted for 20% of the total market as on March 2008. Both ICICI bank and the State Bank of India refused to comment.

It is allowed to a bank or a NBFC to sell the loan as a securitized paper. Mutual funds are the major buyers of these papers, return on which is linked to the rating of the loan. Following the securitization, loan disappears from the balance sheet of the banks or NBFCs, who in turn communicate to the borrowers that their loan has been sold to an investor.

From borrower’s point of view, it could mean lesser disclosure. Borrowers then keep repaying to the Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) where such paper is parked instead of the bank or NBFC. Banks make good the spreads between lending at a certain tenor to selling the loan for a higher yield. Rajiv Shastri, Lotus MF said, “We have been very wary about these loans from the very beginning, primarily because they didn’t offer high asset cover-age. Most papers floating in the market offered one-and-a-half times asset coverage, which is nothing if prices start falling. Last November-December, we just took two papers, which offered us a coverage of 3-4 times”.

Debt funds from the houses of Reliance, DWS and HSBC have been fairly aggressive in buying real estate loans. Reliance MF CEO Vikrant Gugnani said, “We are more cautious in today’s conditions like anyone else. We have always been conservative in our investment policy and we remain so”.

BNP Paribas Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Mr. Ram Kumar said, “If it is a loan taken by a big realty company, the rating will be higher and there are more buyers for such papers. But we treat these investments like any other paper, although they are illiquid. We do not invest in them anymore. We did, two years go”. Many other fund managers too have changed their stance now.

For over two years now, the RBI has raised the risk weight for commercial real estate loans to 150% in addition to issuing guidelines on multiple occasions to banks to limit their exposures to the sector. Nevertheless, real estate loans form only a small part of most banks’ balance sheets, thus allowing them to continue financing real estate assets.

Emaar’s Three SPVs.

Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank and another financial investor are thinking to make a shared investment of eight hundred million dollar in three special purpose vehicles being created by real estate major Emaar MGF. Each SPV will have one financial investor.
Delhi-based developer is in advanced talks with private equity players and is likely to close three separate deals within 30 days. No comment came from Emaar MGF on this issue. The deals will be the first big fund flow into the real estate firm since February.

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Reality Of Realty Mutual Funds

All the decks have been cleared for the launch of Real Estate Mutual Funds (REMFs) in India, with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) notifying amended regulations for such products last week. For mutual fund investors, this may mean a welcome relief from the stream of new equity fund offerings, playing on every imaginable theme, that have clamored for attention over the past three years. But don’t hope for this to happen in near future. Read More »

Lodha Group To Raise $2 Billion Over Two Years

Mr. Abhinandan Lodha, Director, Lodha Group (Bloomberg), confidently said in mumbai that their aim are to raise $2 billion over the next two years from private equity investors and an initial sale of shares to fund its growth.

The developer, which has received investments by JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Deutsche Bank AG in the past two years, said that funds sponsored by mortgage lender Housing Development Finance Corp. agreed to invest $54 million in the projects being developed by the group.
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India at 3rd position in global realty market rising

Growing realty sector of India has attracted overseas investors and figures in the top three property markets round the world, presenting the finest prospect for capital appreciation after the US and China. In the group of the most favorite property market in between foreign investors globally, US has retained its top position, while China was ranked 2nd followed by India, a survey carried out by the Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate (AFIRE) said. China moved to the 2nd position, garnering 21.4 % votes and displacing India in the process, which was preferred only by 16.7% of the respondents favoring the country as the most fancied place for real estate investment.

In 2006 China got 14.6 % votes while India had 18 % and was ranked in the 2nd position. One of the important findings that cannot be unnoticed is the jump in investor’s confidence in China.

AFIRE Chief Executive J A Fetgatter told that this is the 2nd time in 3 years, China has been chosen as the country offering the 2nd best chance for capital appreciation after the US. Interestingly, the United States, whose economy continues to be bogged down by the subprime crisis and faces the danger of a recession, still managed to preserve the top position in the ranking list.Among those surveyed, 26.2 % said America offered the greatest prospect for capital appreciation in the real estate sector as compared to 23 % recorded in 2006.